Analisi AstaldiAstaldi ha buone prospettive di crescita sia se si prende in considerazione la valutazione secondo il metodo dei flussi di cassa che nel raffronto coi comparables. |
| 2007 | Var % | 2008 | Var % | 2009 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Totale Ricavi | 1329,131 | 14,78 % | 1525,640 | 22,54 % | 1869,536 |
| Margine operativo lordo | 155,469 | 12,54 % | 174,960 | 16,40 % | 203,650 |
| Ebitda margin | 11,697 | 11,468 | 10,893 | ||
| Margine operativo netto | 114,108 | 16,17 % | 132,564 | 16,79 % | 154,817 |
| Ebit Margin | 8,59 | 8,69 | 8,28 | ||
| Risultato Ante Imposte | 70,667 | 1,15 % | 71,480 | 18,48 % | 84,687 |
| Ebt Margin | 5,32 | 4,69 | 4,53 | ||
| Risultato Netto | 38,416 | 16,52 % | 44,762 | 18,44 % | 53,016 |
| E-Margin | 2,89 | 2,93 | 2,84 | ||
| PFN (Cassa) | 398,543 | -0,81 % | 395,327 | 19,47 % | 472,282 |
| Patrimonio Netto | 312,085 | 6,34 % | 331,874 | 14,06 % | 378,547 |
| Capitale Investito | 721,560 | 2,21 % | 737,515 | 16,66 % | 860,384 |
| ROE | 12,31 | 13,49 | 14,01 | ||
| ROCE | 15,814 | 17,974 | 17,994 |
Commento ai dati di bilancio
Nel triennio 2007-2009 Astaldi ha mostrato una crescita del fatturato del 40,7% mentre il margine operativo lordo è aumentato del 31% in presenza di una flessione dei margini di circa 1 punto percentuale. Positive anche le performance del risultato operativo (+35,7%) e del risultato netto (+35,1%). Dal punto di vista patrimoniale si registra una crescita dell’indebitamento finanziario netto di circa 75 milioni ma il rapporto debt to equity è in leggera flessione a quota 1,25.
Comparables
| Azienda | P/E | P/BV | Dividend Yield % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astaldi | 9,48 | 1,35 | 2,62% |
| Impregilo | 11,68 | 1,01 | 0% |
| Maire Tecnimont | 14,31 | 3,09 | 2,05% |
| Trevi | 8,74 | 2,37 | 1,07% |
Commento : nella comparazione con le principali aziende quotate operanti nel settore dell’impiantistica Astaldi risulta tra quelle più a sconto sia sulla base sia del rapporto Price/Earnings (Prezzo/Utili) che per quanto riguarda il Price/Book Value (Prezzo/Valore Contabile). Il rendimento da dividendi è il più elevato tra le aziende del campione anche se piuttosto contenuto in termini assoluti (poco sopra il 2,5%).
Plus e Minus
Opportunità : buon portafoglio ordini e business plan con target ambiziosi
Rischi : risultati della seconda metà del 2010 al di sotto delle attese
Ipotesi Valutazione e Sensitivity Analysis
Nell’applicazione del metodo dei flussi di cassa scontati e dell’Economic Value Added si sono ipotizzati:
- una crescita dei ricavi del 4% nel 2010 in crescita al 6% medio nel triennio successivo e al 3% nel lungo periodo;
- margini sulle vendite in crescita all’11,1% nel 2010 e 11,2% nel 2011 ed anni successivi;
- una redditività operativa (ROI) di lungo periodo superiore del 13,5%.
Infine si prevede un tax rate stabile al 37,5% su tutto il periodo di previsione ed un costo del debito medio del 7%.
I risultati del modello convergono su un valore per azione di circa 9,1 Euro che tende a crescere (ridursi) di 1,05 Euro per ogni punto in più (in meno) del margine sulle vendite come mostrato nella figura seguente.
L’analisi Astaldi è fornita da Evaluation.it
Evaluation.it
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Apple now has Rhapsody as an app, which is a great start, but it is currently hampered by the inability to store locally on your iPod, and has a dismal 64kbps bit rate. If this changes, then it will somewhat negate this advantage for the Zune, but the 10 songs per month will still be a big plus in Zune Pass’ favor.
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If you’re still on the fence: grab your favorite earphones, head down to a Best Buy and ask to plug them into a Zune then an iPod and see which one sounds better to you, and which interface makes you smile more. Then you’ll know which is right for you.
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Hands down, Apple’s app store wins by a mile. It’s a huge selection of all sorts of apps vs a rather sad selection of a handful for Zune. Microsoft has plans, especially in the realm of games, but I’m not sure I’d want to bet on the future if this aspect is important to you. The iPod is a much better choice in that case.
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Between me and my husband we’ve owned more MP3 players over the years than I can count, including Sansas, iRivers, iPods (classic & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, etc. But, the last few years I’ve settled down to one line of players. Why? Because I was happy to discover how well-designed and fun to use the underappreciated (and widely mocked) Zunes are.
Zune and iPod: Most people compare the Zune to the Touch, but after seeing how slim and surprisingly small and light it is, I consider it to be a rather unique hybrid that combines qualities of both the Touch and the Nano. It’s very colorful and lovely OLED screen is slightly smaller than the touch screen, but the player itself feels quite a bit smaller and lighter. It weighs about 2/3 as much, and is noticeably smaller in width and height, while being just a hair thicker.
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The Zune concentrates on being a Portable Media Player. Not a web browser. Not a game machine. Maybe in the future it’ll do even better in those areas, but for now it’s a fantastic way to organize and listen to your music and videos, and is without peer in that regard. The iPod’s strengths are its web browsing and apps. If those sound more compelling, perhaps it is your best choice.
The new Zune browser is surprisingly good, but not as good as the iPod’s. It works well, but isn’t as fast as Safari, and has a clunkier interface. If you occasionally plan on using the web browser that’s not an issue, but if you’re planning to browse the web alot from your PMP then the iPod’s larger screen and better browser may be important.
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If you’re still on the fence: grab your favorite earphones, head down to a Best Buy and ask to plug them into a Zune then an iPod and see which one sounds better to you, and which interface makes you smile more. Then you’ll know which is right for you.
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